Saturday, April 19, 2008

2005 Derrek Lee 2008 Derrek Lee ?

Derrek Lee just smashed his seventh HR Saturday April 19th. Remember 2005 when he was hitting over .350 most of the year (finished at .335) and stole 15 bases, hit 46 HR's, 107 RBI, 50 Doubles...well it looks like D Lee might be fully healthy and ready for a similar season. But that's the key like so many other injury prone players; can he sustain this health.

In this same game the decline of Tom Gorzelanny continues. In his first full season in 2007 Gorzelanny was 14-10 with 200 Innings, 130 Strikeouts, 3.88 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Not the stats of an all star but for a rookie, it looked like Gorzelanny could be a workhorse type, pitching deep into games and being good for certain matchups. Now Gorzelanny is walking 4 guys a game even the two games where he went 6 innings and gave up 1 then 3 runs. His other two stats (today, and then 2 starts ago) he got obliterated, giving up 7 runs in less than 3 innings in both.

The decline of Gorzelanny is similar to that of Zach Duke. In 2005 he was 8-2 with 1.81 ERA / 1.20 WHIP and then in his sophomore year was 10-15 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. He has been decent this year, but after the first year he was looked at as a potential ace down the road for the Pirates. Instead it is Ian Snell that is looking like the ace with a nice K rate and ERA.

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